Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000121 0.000134 0.000148 0.000164 0.000182 0.000202 0.000225
2025-11-23 0.000102 0.000119 0.000140 0.000164 0.000194 0.000227 0.000269
2025-11-30 0.000088 0.000109 0.000133 0.000165 0.000205 0.000253 0.000316
2025-12-07 0.000077 0.000099 0.000127 0.000164 0.000212 0.000274 0.000359
2025-12-14 0.000069 0.000093 0.000123 0.000166 0.000224 0.000302 0.000413
2025-12-21 0.000063 0.000087 0.000119 0.000167 0.000234 0.000326 0.000464
2025-12-28 0.000056 0.000081 0.000115 0.000165 0.000240 0.000346 0.000512
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000077 0.000113 0.000168 0.000251 0.000375 0.000573
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000073 0.000110 0.000168 0.000260 0.000399 0.000630
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000069 0.000107 0.000168 0.000266 0.000420 0.000683
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000066 0.000103 0.000167 0.000271 0.000440 0.000738
2026-02-01 0.000039 0.000063 0.000101 0.000167 0.000279 0.000464 0.000799
2026-02-08 0.000036 0.000059 0.000098 0.000165 0.000283 0.000483 0.000855
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000057 0.000095 0.000165 0.000289 0.000506 0.000922
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000054 0.000093 0.000165 0.000297 0.000533 0.000997
2026-03-01 0.000029 0.000052 0.000090 0.000163 0.000301 0.000552 0.001061
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000050 0.000090 0.000166 0.000312 0.000586 0.001156
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000048 0.000088 0.000166 0.000320 0.000615 0.001243
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000046 0.000086 0.000165 0.000324 0.000637 0.001319
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000045 0.000085 0.000167 0.000336 0.000675 0.001430
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000044 0.000084 0.000168 0.000344 0.000705 0.001529
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000042 0.000082 0.000167 0.000349 0.000730 0.001619
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000040 0.000080 0.000166 0.000354 0.000755 0.001711